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The inflection point of the outbreak in Virginia? Experts predict that the increase will narrow next week

2019-nCoV Special
Source: xkb.com.au
[Social News]     10 Aug 2020
A new model developed by experts for the state's government shows that the state may have passed the second peak of the new crown epidemic. If the population remains vigilant, one-day case growth is expected to fall next week.
The inflection point of the outbreak in Virginia? Experts predict that the increase will narrow next week

A Virginia woman is wearing a mask to exercise. (Photo of AUSA)

A new model developed by experts for the state's government shows that the state may have passed the second peak of the new crown epidemic. If the population remains vigilant, one-day case growth is expected to fall next week.

Vizhou chief medical officer Brett Sutton Sutton said on Saturday that for the first time since June, the average infection rate in venereal disease cases was below one.

After 466 new confirmed cases and 12 death cases were added Saturday, Sutton said the state's effective infection rate fell to about 0.9, meaning that on average nine people per 10 cases were infected.

"I think we're moving in the right direction ". "The current infection rate of 0.9 does need to be reduced to 0.5," he added ." I think phase 4 restrictions will allow us to move in this direction. How far we can go is related to all members of our community and to our actions. "

The state is at its most encouraging moment since the outbreak of the second wave in late june, according to James McCaw, an epidemiologist at the doherty institute. His team is responsible for modeling the epidemic for the state government.

The inflection point of the outbreak in Virginia? Experts predict that the increase will narrow next week

The doherty institute epidemiologist mccau. (Times)

"We believe we have reached the inflection point ," McCau told The Times. We are moving in a better direction. "

"We see continued improvement in public compliance with Phase III restraining orders, and there are preliminary indications that public compliance with Phase IV restraining orders is good. I believe we have just crossed the peak, or are in the peak, but there is still a long way to go. "

The full impact of phase 4 restrictions could be felt within the next 10 days after Melbourne imposed a 8 p.m. curfew and a five-kilometer movement restriction on Sunday, Professor McCau said.

This week more stringent workplace restrictions came into effect. mitchell county (Mitchell Shire) is still in phase 3 blockade. The rest of the state's villages and towns, except Melbourne and Mitchell County, have also been locked in phase 3 since Thursday.

More stringent workplace restrictions are in effect. Mitchell Shire is still in the third phase of the restrictions, while the state's township areas re-entered the third phase on Thursday.

The Australian Treasury minister, Josh FRydenberg, has called on Governor Andrews to contribute more to the economic recovery in Victoria. He said the federal government had committed $314 billion nationwide to respond to the epidemic. By contrast, states and territories invested only $45 billion.

"The states can do more, and the states should do more, including Virginia. "said Fredenberg.

The finance minister also said the state's citizens deserve an answer to the failed hotel separation program. "There is a need for accountability and an explanation. "

Mr. Sutton admitted yesterday that community-borne cases remained worrisome, but had fallen from a peak of 26% in mid-July to 17% today. This suggests that stricter restrictions are working.

Mr mccau also said anonymous data collected from facebook (fb) and google (Google) showed that, thanks to phase 4 restrictions, melbourne residents did not move until this week to the level of phase 3 restrictions in march. He noted that this indicated that the Vizhou population had not fully complied with phase 3 during the second wave of the outbreak in July.

"It is not surprising that there is nothing to blame. That's the truth: if you let people do the same thing twice, people do n' t react the same way. Because we're tired, we' re under a lot of pressure. "

He added that the state could improve if new cases were brought down in the next 10 days.

Meanwhile, Andrews announced government Saturday that it would invest A $1.6 million to provide free preschool (Kindergarten, equivalent to Preschool in the new state) in the third semester and support online resources for children to study at home.

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